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We utilize CFTC-regulated probability markets to create strategic hedge positions tied to playoff outcomes. When teams have uncertain playoff prospects, we establish protective positions that pay out if teams miss the postseason—offsetting the revenue you would have lost from missing playoff games.

The optimal time is when playoff probabilities are between 15-40%. This provides favorable pricing while still meaningful protection. Currently, the Bruins (22%) and Red Sox (15%) are in this sweet spot. We monitor markets daily and alert you to optimal entry points.

Hedge costs typically range from 15-25% of your total risk exposure. For example, if you have $18,400 in potential playoff revenue exposure, a hedge would cost approximately $3,200-$4,600. This achieves a 4-6x protection ratio, meaning every $1 spent protects $4-6 in revenue.

You lose the hedge cost, but this is the ideal outcome. You're generating the playoff revenue you expected, and the hedge cost is simply the insurance premium you paid for protection. Think of it like fire insurance on your bar—you hope to never need it, but you're protected if disaster strikes.

For liquid markets (Celtics, Patriots), execution is near-instant with minimal slippage. For thinner markets (Bruins, Red Sox), we recommend splitting orders into tranches over 24-48 hours to minimize market impact. We handle all execution and provide real-time updates.

Yes. Our hedge strategies utilize CFTC-regulated (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) probability markets operating as Designated Contract Markets. This is not sports betting—it's a regulated financial instrument for hedging business risk, similar to commodities or futures markets.